RUSSIA AND THE WORLD IN THE TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY: PROGNOSIS-CONCEPTION

Abstract

The Author offers a fundamentally new methodological approach to forecasting of development of the planetary community, pioneer futures concept. Globalization, transforming the global community into a single economic complex, will not be able to mitigate a natural striving for creation of the union of the Mongoloid states: China, Korea, Japan, Mongolia, and the Central Asia. The organization of Eurasian (economic) union in Astan in October 2000 is not a caprice of «the Kremlin elite» but a natural stage of the world economic process. The logic of historical development will demand Mongolia, Korea, and Japan to join to this block. world community has no other way out than building the structure of the future safe world by joint efforts. In this future world Russia is «doomed» by the role of the third (different race) power center of Eurasia (equally with the European Union and China), that minimizes race tension between the Europeoids and Mongoloids poles of the planet. The logic of historical development will demand Mongolia, Korea, and Japan to join to this block. World community has no other way out than building the structure of the future safe world by joint efforts. In this future world Russia is «doomed» by the role of the third (different race) power center of Eurasia (equally with the European Union and China), that minimizes race tension between the Europeoids and Mongoloids poles of the planet. Variant of the «future», based on the creation of race unions rather soon leads to split of the world. Much would depend on the fact that which of two processes would end earlier — man‘s going out of «the sphere of proper production» or reducing «the world to a common economic denominator». If the first process is going faster, there is real perspective of race unions and balancing the world on the brink of war. That is the priority task is the creation of the union of different races. In such a situation the subjective (human) factor is of great significance. Like that a stone, having rolled downhill, provokes snow avalanche. That is why it is very important to have oriented system policy of organizing the universal world that would result in turning «race avalanches» into necessary and safe for the mankind direction